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Stablecoin Showdown & Base Bets: The Calm Before the Liquidity Storm

Stablecoin Showdown & Base Bets: The Calm Before the Liquidity Storm📈🤡

🚀 Your Weekly Playbook for Maximizing Yield in DeFi

📅 June 29, 2025 | 💰 ETH: $2,498.70 | BTC: $108,421 | SOL: ~$150.78 | 🌐 Market Mood: Cautious Optimism (Fear & Greed Index: 56)

📖 New to DeFi? 👉 Read the Ultimate Beginners Guide

Big Story: The U.S. Is Trying to Regulate Magic Internet Money (And It Might Work)

DeFi runs on a weird kind of internet cash called stablecoins — tokens like USDC or USDT that are supposed to always be worth $1.

The dream?
You swap them, farm them, stake them. They don’t move. They don’t moon. They don’t crash.
They just work.

But behind the scenes?
Some of these “stable” coins were backed by… vibes.
No audits. No oversight. And in a few famous cases, absolutely no dollars.

Now the U.S. Senate is stepping in with the GENIUS Act, a bill that says:

“Fine. You can have your crypto dollars. But if you want them to be legal?
They’d better be backed by real money — and we want receipts.”

1. What Just Happened

On June 17, the Senate passed the GENIUS Act in a 68–30 vote. That’s rare bipartisan alignment — in crypto — in an election year. 🤯

The bill does a few big things:

  • Requires stablecoins to be backed 1:1 by cash or short-term U.S. Treasuries

  • Mandates monthly disclosures and annual audits

  • Prohibits stablecoins from paying yield directly (sorry, CeFi savers)

  • Opens the door for banks, fintechs, and even Amazon-level companies to issue their own “digital dollars” under U.S. supervision

Next stop: the House. Then, likely the President’s desk in July.

2. Why This Is a Big Deal

Most people using stablecoins — in DeFi or even just on exchanges — don’t stop to ask what’s actually backing them.

But here’s the split:

🪙 The Compliant

🧱 The Sketchy

USDC (Circle)

Clean books, mostly cash & T-bills

Tether (USDT)

Some cash… and also BTC, gold, and vibes

This bill is tailor-made for companies like Circle to win — and for Tether to squirm.
If you’re a U.S. user? That “squirm” might mean getting cut off from the biggest stablecoin on earth.

Also, with clear rules, big brands like Visa, PayPal, Amazon, and Walmart are warming up. Yes, we’re about to see corporate stablecoins. You heard it here first.

3. How This Affects Yield Farmers Like You

  • More trust, fewer de-pegs: Good for long-term stability

  • More demand for real T-bills: Bad if you wanted rates to go up

  • No more interest from stablecoins directly: You’ll earn yield from DeFi protocols, not the coins themselves

In short:
Stablecoins will still be useful, but they’re growing up.
Less Wild West, more Wall Street.
Less yield from the coins, more reason to learn how farming actually works.

4. What to Ask Before You Ape In

  • 💸 What’s backing this coin? Real assets or magic beans?

  • 🧾 Is there an audit trail? If not, keep scrolling.

  • 🔐 Will this coin get blocked or banned in the U.S.? Ask this before farming with it.

Because “$1 is $1” sounds simple — until it isn’t.
This bill doesn’t kill stablecoins. It just makes them… boring. In the best way.

Yieldstacker Strategy of the Week: Riding Base’s Beta Wave — Farming AERO/USDC on Aerodrome

DeFi Radar: Quick DeFi updates for the week ahead

🔹 $SOL — Byreal Testnet Goes Live (June 30)

Bybit just launched the Byreal DEX testnet, a hybrid CEX–DEX platform built on Solana. This move brings institutional-style trading to Solana’s on-chain world, with mainnet expected later this year.
Why It Matters: It's a big signal: centralized giants are betting on Solana's infra. If the testnet gains traction, expect Solana volumes and DeFi interest to spike.
👉 Explore the Byreal Testnet

🔹 $SUI — $131M Token Unlock (July 1)

On July 1, over $131 million in SUI tokens will be unlocked, including ecosystem and developer allocations.
Why It Matters: This is one of SUI's largest unlocks to date, significantly increasing the circulating supply. If demand doesn’t keep up, downward pressure is likely. On the flip side, protocols may ramp up incentives and yield farming rewards to absorb the supply.
👉 View SUI unlock details on TokenUnlocks

🔹 $JUP — Jupiter Studio Launching Next Week

Jupiter Studio, a Pump.fun-style token launcher, is going live on Solana early next week. It aims to let anyone spin up tokens and monetize via a new studio interface.
Why It Matters: This brings new creator tools to the Solana ecosystem and could drive major onchain activity, volume, and memecoin velocity — all bullish for $JUP utility.
👉 Watch for launch updates on Jupiter’s official site

Deep Dive: Base Is Becoming the Default

The thing about DeFi is that nobody waits for permission.
No VC pitch deck, no press tour, no blue-chip stamp of approval. If something works, it just wins. Quietly at first—then everywhere, all at once.

That’s what’s happening with Base right now.

While traders squabble over memecoins and ETH chops sideways, Coinbase’s Layer 2 is quietly becoming the internet’s financial backend. More users. More apps. More volume. No token. No hype cycles. Just relentless product velocity.

So before the rest of the market catches up, let’s unpack why Base is dominating, what’s coming next, and how to get positioned now.

1. The Set-Up: Base vs the Rest

Metric

Base

Arbitrum

Optimism

Daily Tx Count

~10M

~2.03M

~1.23M

TVL

$1.71B

$3.2B

$737M

Avg Fees

<$0.01

~$0.12

~$0.09

Dev Activity

🔼 Surging

🔽 Flattening

↔ Stable

Narrative Edge

Coinbase infra

DAO scale

Retro rewards

Source: The Block, Messari, DefiLlama (all verified as of June 29, 2025)

TL;DR: Base is already outpacing its rivals in raw activity—~5x Arbitrum, ~8x Optimism while keeping fees ultra-low and plugging directly into Coinbase’s distribution engine.

2. The Momentum Shift

Just in the past few weeks:

  • FriendTech v2 teased a comeback on Base

  • Aerodrome passed $350M TVL

  • Base Wallet is soft-launching with smart wallet UX baked in

  • Rumors are swirling of a joint ETH × Base initiative — possibly involving early PeerDAS integration or smart-wallet defaulting

Base isn’t just an L2 anymore. It’s becoming Ethereum’s live proving ground—where the next 10x upgrade is quietly battle-tested before it hits mainnet.

3. Working Hypothesis: What Happens Next

Likely Move

Plain-English Meaning

Impact

Base pilots PeerDAS early

Compresses more data into each blob

L2 gas drops even further; UX feels free

Coinbase deploys smart wallets

Auto gas, account recovery, app-like UX

DeFi UX hits app-store level onboarding

ETH restaking secures Base

Base leverages restaked ETH for security/yield

ETH becomes more valuable as base collateral

4. Why It Matters (Even If You’re New)

  • More activity on Base = more ETH burned (via blobs)

  • Lower fees = more app usage = more value creation

  • Smart wallets eliminate 90% of friction — the thing holding DeFi back

  • A public Ethereum–Coinbase partnership = massive regulatory signaling

5. Actionable Takeaways

🧑‍💼 Traders

  • Monitor Base tokens like $AERO, $TOSHI, $DEGEN — low liquidity + real usage = spiky upside

  • Watch ETH/BTC strength — if ETH outperforms without BTC confirmation, Base narrative could be driving flows

🛠️ Builders

  • Deploy to Base now — cheapest fees, most upside, strongest distribution

  • Build with smart wallet hooks baked in, that’s where UX is headed

📈 Long-Term Investors

  • If Base keeps scaling and ETH secures it, ETH staking yield may rise

  • No Base token? Track proxy exposure via Coinbase stock, ecosystem dApps, and governance tokens

Bottom Line

Base isn’t asking for permission to lead Layer 2 adoption — it’s already doing it.

If the ETH × Base initiative lands in July, Ethereum may be test-driving its 2026 roadmap a full year early. And when the scoreboard updates, it’ll be clear who’s building, who’s shipping, and who’s just tweeting.

Don’t fade the layer that doesn’t need a token to eat the market.

(Disclaimer: Not financial advice. Always DYOR.)

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Chart of the Week: Global M2 Liquidity vs. Bitcoin, A Delayed Reaction?

What the Picture Shows

What You're Seeing:

  • 🟣 M2 Supply (magenta line): The total liquidity pumped out by the top 21 central banks

  • 🔵 M2 YoY Growth (shaded blue): A measure of how aggressively the supply is expanding

  • Bitcoin Price (white line): Crypto’s macro bid proxy

Why It Matters:
BTC’s last major runup coincided with a spike in global M2. But this year, liquidity is growing again, and BTC hasn’t caught up yet.

Some key takeaways:

  • M2 supply hit a local top in April, up over $4T from the January low

  • Bitcoin briefly responded, then cooled off, now sitting well below its prior high

  • The YoY growth rate is starting to tick upward again, hinting at renewed macro tailwinds

The Trade Idea:
If BTC is still a global liquidity sponge, this chart implies it’s just waiting for confirmation, and if so, that makes me very bullish for Q4

Beginner Mistake to Avoid: Underestimating Impermanent Loss & Hidden Risks

DeFi looks simple on the surface: stake some tokens, watch the APR climb, retire early.

But beginners often miss the hidden traps that quietly eat away at your returns.

1. Impermanent Loss (IL) Isn’t Just a Buzzword

If the price of one asset in your LP pair moves up or down significantly, you lose value, even if you never sold anything. This happens even in stable/volatile pairs, where you think one side is “safe.”

It’s called impermanent because the loss only locks in if you withdraw, but if the price never reverts, it becomes very permanent.

2. Scammed Without a Hacker: Rug Pulls & Drip Emissions

Not every DeFi loss comes from a smart contract exploit. Sometimes:

  • The dev team drains the liquidity pool.

  • Emissions stop after a week.

  • That “300% APR” suddenly drops to 40% once new farmers pile in.

No hack required. Just brutal tokenomics.

🧮 How That 300% APR Disappears

Let’s break it down:

  1. Reward token drops 60% → APR cut to 120%.

  2. TVL doubles from new farmers → 60% APR.

  3. Vaults take 5–10% in fees → ~54% net.

  4. Add impermanent loss → Real returns = 10–30% (or even negative).

APR ≠ actual profits.

✅ Quick DeFi Sanity Check (Do This Before You Ape)

✔️ Checkpoint

❓ Ask This

Volatility Risk

Does this LP pair swing hard in price?

Reward Quality

Am I earning stablecoins or farm tokens?

Emission Timeline

Will rewards last more than a week?

Exit Liquidity

Can I actually exit without slippage?

Audit Status

Is the code vetted? Any rug red flags?

💡 Pro Tip

Treat headline APR like a max horsepower rating—it looks good on paper but doesn’t reflect road conditions.

Haircut everything by 50–70%. If you still like the risk-adjusted returns? Stack away.

Otherwise, move on. In DeFi, the next farm is always just one click away.

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Disclaimer:

TheYieldStacker newsletter and any curated information provided are not intended as Financial Advice but as educational content for insights into the crypto market. Only invest what you can afford to lose. We are not liable for any losses incurred.